Stoffo's Baseball Streak System Part 1
Baseball Has Been Very, Very Good to Me--because it does, dramatically -- it's that the smart gamblers hit the bookmakers up for a lot of money.
So how come you're not betting on baseball every day? (And I know you're probably not.) Perhaps for many of the same reasons you're not betting regularly on hockey, another sport with great value for gamblers . Believe me; I've heard all the excuses. "Baseball and hockey are boring." "I can't get with any sport in which a 2-1 score reflects a great game." "I can't watch a pro baseball without falling asleep." "I've never even seen a pro hockey game."
My question to you is--Are you betting for entertainment or to make money?
Granted, most U.S. gamblers aren't nearly as familiar with hockey as they are with the 3 other major American sports: football, basketball and baseball. And, admittedly, baseball lags far behind football and basketball in mass appeal. But both baseball and hockey have traditionally provided great values for savvy gamblers.
Not only that, their seasons span virtually the entire year, with Major League Baseball's first pitch overlapping neatly with the push toward the National Hockey League's Stanley Cup playoffs.
Most important, both baseball and hockey differ from football and basketball in that the most common form of betting is on the moneyline (which team is going to win, straight up), not against the run-line or puck-line (in other words, the point spread, almost always 1.5 runs or goals). This provides an opportunity for great values when you follow the sports closely.
Baseball features another unique dynamic in that even though it's a team sport, it's really about a single player, the pitcher, against another individual player, the batter.
In the age of the Internet, it isn't hard to determine how a particular pitcher does against a specific lineup, or at a particular ballpark. Hockey's sort of the same way, only it's the goalie against the opponent's entire offense, more or less 1 man at a time.
No wonder bookies hate hockey and baseball -- the latter of which is the only game going in the dead of summer.
At the Desert Inn sportsbook, in fact, we felt fortunate to finish pro baseball season with 1% or less in losses on the books. When do you think we made up those millions of dollars? On "losers" blowing their yearly bankrolls in 17 quick weeks of pro football, and 1 long weekend of Final Four basketball, that's when.
So start "betting wise." Use my 12 Money-Management Programs, and don't take a gambling vacation during baseball and hockey seasons -- it could be costing you thousands of dollars a year.
Play Only When Your Team's Winning
I learned my first money-management technique before I ever stepped foot in
Las Vegas
. I was working on Wall Street and a colleague of mine, Dave, couldn't contain himself about all the money he was making betting on pro baseball. I was just a kid of 19 years old and Dave was in his mid-30s, so he loved playing mentor to my protégé. It didn't take long for him to outline the whole process for me.
It also didn't take long for Dave to realize he could be making a full-time living off this process of his, which he'd learned from a friend, who had learned it from a friend, who'd learned it from a friend. So, one day, he simply quit his 6-figure Wall Street job and moved to Vegas.
Twenty years later, when I was manager at the Desert Inn, Dave strolled into the sportsbook to lay a bet on, what else, baseball. I happily took it, and handed over his winnings 3 hours later. I hadn't seen him in 2 decades, but he was happy to confirm that he made his living using his same old process of riding teams' winning streaks and sitting on the sidelines during their losing streaks.
I didn't tell Dave, but I'd made a few adjustments to the process since I'd begun using it, improving it a bit to make it even more profitable. Now I'm going to share it with you.
I think you'll find those 3-hour baseball games so much more interesting when you're winning a lot of money on them.
The Set-Up Each of my 12
Money-Management
Programs are composed of a Series of bets that are either predetermined by me or can be quickly calculated by you using a Formula I'll provide you.
For the purposes of our examples in this chapter, all bets are at varying moneyline and run-line odds, which will be explained with each scenario.
The Program
The Baseball Streaks System sounds almost too good to be true. You bet on teams only while they're on winning streaks, and watch from the sidelines as they suffer through all of their losing streaks during the long season. It's so simple, it's genius.
It also works in the opposite fashion, in that you can bet against lousy teams, riding their losing streaks to big money, and sitting out while they string together a few wins.
At the beginning of the season, or even after it's started, pick several teams that you think will have either great or horrible years. When selecting "winners," resist the urge to automatically pick dynasty teams like the Yankees, since bookmakers have long since grown weary of paying out on them and the odds will be stacked against you.
For instance, the Yankees, A's and Braves were the 3 best teams in baseball in 2002. Each had a winning percentage of between .627 and .629 and went on winning streaks of 3 or more games 16 or 17 times. Yet the Braves and A's were much better values with oddsmakers. Remember, odds are all about public perception, and right now the Yankees are perceived as everyday winners. So look for teams with better value, perhaps those due for their first .600 season in a while, or (conversely) their first .400 season in a long time.
Once you have your teams, start tracking the results of all their games. You're waiting for a "Signal Result," which if you're tracking a "winner" is a victory and if you're tracking a "loser" is a defeat. When a Signal Result occurs, that's when you start betting. This allows you to catch each team as it enters either a winning or a losing streak. Series end when "winners" finally lose a game or "losers" finally win a game.
For example, in The Baseball Streaks System, you wait for a team on your "winners" list to win a game, and then you make a bet on it the next game and keep doing so until it wins 3 in a row for you or loses any 1 game. In this way, you will make a Series of between
1 and 3 wagers on the moneyline in amounts necessary to win the pre-calculated Series Amounts of $50, $50 or $25. (In this chapter and elsewhere, I will refer to the dollar figure you wager to win a moneyline bet the "Actual Wager Amount.")
The Series doesn't end until you win 3 consecutive bets or you lose any 1 bet. In either case, you roll your profits into your Personal Betting Bankroll and start the Series over when you get another Signal Game.
Of course, The Baseball Streaks System also works for
betting
against poor ball clubs, in which case you wait for a team on your "losers" list to lose a game, and then you make a bet against it the next game and keep doing so until it loses 3 in a row for you or wins any 1 game. In this way, you will make a Series of between 1 and 3 wagers on the moneyline in amounts necessary to win the pre-calculated Series Amounts of $50, $50 or $25.
Continued in Part 2
Tony Stoffo's website is:
www.learnhowtobet.com
© Copyright 2007 Online Casino Crawler This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
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